Friday, February 21, 2014

What is a good forecast? - HEPEX Blog

Today I published my first of a series of guest columnist posts in the HEPEX blog. The topic is "What is a good forecast?" (click that link to read it). It is a non-technical discussion of what makes information trustworthy, relevant, useful and so on, in a forecasting context.

HEPEX is the Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction EXperiment, an international volunteer collective of scientists, forecasters and users interested in demonstrating the value of ensemble forecasts. This year HEPEX is celebrating its 10th anniversary. I fondly remember giving a talk in 2005 at the second workshop. It is a great effort, worthy of support!